Chelsea vs PSG: prediction & betting odds 13 July 2025

The final of the 2025 Club World Cup between Chelsea (England) and PSG (France) will take place on July 13 at the MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford (USA). Chelsea vs. PSG: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Chelsea

The Londoners are participating in the Club World Cup for the third time, reaching the final on each occasion, but they have only won the gold once, in the 2021 edition. In the current tournament, Enzo Maresca's side finished second in Group D with two wins and one loss. The playoff series began for Chelsea with a clash against Benfica, which they only managed to overcome after 120 minutes of play (1-1, extra time 3-0). In the subsequent rounds, the English team faced Brazilian clubs, defeating Palmeiras (2-1) and Fluminense (2-0) in turn. Notably, the British team has scored in each of their last eight matches at the Club World Cup. 

  • No more than three goals were scored in regular time in 8 of Chelsea's last 9 Club World Cup games.
  • The Londoners have not lost in regular time in 7 of their last 8 matches at the Club World Cup (5 wins and 2 draws).
  • In their last 10 matches in this tournament, the English team has conceded more than one goal in regular time only once. 

Predicted lineup for Chelsea (4-3-3)* 

Robert Sanchez – Malo Gusto, Tosin Adarabioyo, Trevoh Chalobah, Marc Cucurella – Moises Caicedo, Enzo Fernandez, Cole Palmer – Christopher Nkunku, Pedro Neto, Joao Pedro Jesus. 

Defender Benoit Badiashile may miss the match due to injury. Midfielder Romeo Lavia is sidelined with an injury. 

PSG

For the first time in their history, PSG is participating in the Club World Cup, but they are winning with remarkable ease. In the group stage, the team, like their opponent, secured two wins and one loss. In the round of 16, the French easily dispatched Inter Miami, scoring four unanswered goals. The club also achieved "clean sheet" victories in the next two stages: in the quarter-final, PSG defeated Bayern 2-0, and then they thrashed the most decorated club in Club World Cup history, Real Madrid (4-0). It's worth mentioning that PSG has conceded the fewest goals in this tournament, just one. 

  • The French have won 5 of their 6 matches at the Club World Cup, all with a "clean sheet".
  • In 5 of their 6 matches in the current tournament, PSG won by at least a two-goal margin. 
  • One of the teams failed to score in all six of PSG's matches at the Club World Cup.

Predicted lineup for PSG (4-3-3)*   

Gianluigi Donnarumma – Marquinhos, Lucas Beraldo, Nuno Mendes, Achraf Hakimi – Fabian Ruiz, Vitinha, Joao Neves – Desire Doue, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Ousmane Dembele.

Defenders Lucas Hernandez and William Pacho will not play due to suspension. 

Referee

Alireza Faghani (Iran)

Matches – 10 (International matches, 2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 44;

Average yellow cards per match – 4.4;

Red cards shown – 1;

Average fouls per match – 24;

Penalties – 20%.

Chelsea vs. PSG: Match Prediction

I believe the English club will not be able to stop the Parisians, who are on an incredible run. In my opinion, the Londoners reached the final largely thanks to a favorable draw that offered them less formidable opponents. Moreover, Chelsea has played against a European team only once in this tournament, in the round of 16, where they advanced past Benfica only in extra time.

Meanwhile, the French have played three matches in the current tournament against regular participants of the European Champions League – Atletico, Bayern, and Real Madrid. In all these encounters, PSG confidently won by at least a two-goal margin, with the Madrid teams being thrashed by the same scoreline of 4-0. The form of the Parisians is impressive; after all, in their last nine matches in the UEFA Champions League and the Club World Cup, the French have claimed eight victories, with an overall score of an incredible 24-2. 

I think the Champions League winner will prevail over the Conference League winner. In my view, the Parisians are currently on another level, so I suggest the prediction: PSG to win

Chelsea — PSG betting tips 13 July 2025

For Chelsea, this match will be a major test of their resilience, particularly given the potential absences in central midfield. Paris Saint-Germain arrive in the final in excellent form, despite suspensions affecting their defensive line.

Chelsea have progressed through the knockout rounds with wins over Benfica (4:1 after extra time), Palmeiras (2:1), and Fluminense (2:0). However, none of these opponents were among the favourites to win the Club World Cup. Furthermore, the absence of Moisés Caicedo could significantly weaken the midfield. Romeo Lavia remains unavailable, and Dario Essugo is doubtful. As a result, the young Andrey Santos is expected to start. The head-to-head record against Paris Saint-Germain is not encouraging either – just two wins from eight meetings, with three defeats, including two losses in 2016.

Paris Saint-Germain have shown a dominant approach throughout the tournament: five wins from six matches with a combined goal difference of 16:1. In the semi-finals, they dismantled last season’s UEFA Champions League winners Real Madrid with a 4:0 victory, having effectively settled the match by the 24th minute. Even in the absence of Lucas Hernandez and Willian Pacho, Paris Saint-Germain have demonstrated excellent organisation and balance across all areas. The return of Ousmane Dembélé has increased their attacking threat, while Fabián Ruiz has emerged as a surprise leader in the final third, scoring three goals in the tournament.

Paris Saint-Germain are currently the strongest club side in the world. They have confidently beaten top-level opposition and are expected to overcome Chelsea in this fixture. Chelsea might have the potential to offer resistance, but with their midfield options limited, the absence of Moisés Caicedo, and a poor historical record against Paris Saint-Germain, their chances appear slim. That’s why the backing goes to Paris Saint-Germain.

Betting prediction
Paris Saint-Germain to win
Cf
Odds
3/5
Bet now

Chelsea vs PSG Odds

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FIFA Club World Cup: previous matches in the tournament

Chelsea
08.07.25
Fluminense
Chelsea
W
05.07.25
Palmeiras
Chelsea
W
28.06.25
Benfica
Chelsea
1
:
1
0
:
3
OT
D
25.06.25
Esperance Tunis
Chelsea
W
20.06.25
Flamengo Rio de Janeiro
Chelsea
L
16.06.25
Chelsea
Los Angeles
W
More matches
PSG
09.07.25
PSG
Real Madrid
W
05.07.25
PSG
Bayern Munich
W
29.06.25
PSG
Inter Miami
W
23.06.25
Seattle Sounders FC
PSG
W
20.06.25
PSG
Botafogo
L
15.06.25
PSG
Atlético Madrid
W
More matches

H2H: Chelsea — PSG

Champions League 2015-2016
09.03.16
Chelsea
PSG
16.02.16
PSG
Chelsea
Champions Cup 2015
25.07.15
PSG
Chelsea
1
:
1
0
:
0
OT
5
:
6
P
Champions League 2014-2015
11.03.15
Chelsea
PSG
17.02.15
PSG
Chelsea
Champions League 2013-2014
07.04.14
Chelsea
PSG
2
:
0
01.04.14
PSG
Chelsea
3
:
1
Champions League 2004-2005
23.11.04
Chelsea
PSG
0
:
0
13.09.04
PSG
Chelsea
0
:
3

Group stage

FIFA Club World Cup: Group D
Team
Played
Matches played
W
D
L
Goals
Goals
Points
Points
1
Flamengo Rio de Janeiro
  3:1 2:0 -:- 3 2 1 0
6:2
7
2
Chelsea
-:-   -:- 2:0 3 2 0 1
6:3
6
3
Esperance Tunis
-:- 0:3   -:- 3 1 0 2
1:5
3
4
Los Angeles
1:1 -:- 0:1   3 0 1 2
1:4
1

Team lineups

The line-ups will be known a few hours before kick-off
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